TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 12:55 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Each outcome depends solely on the point differential scored during the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential scored in the 4th quarter of the Dallas vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Markets are structured around varying thresholds for how much one team must outscore the other in that quarter: Arizona must win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, while Dallas must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points for respective resolutions. The outcome hinges entirely on the net points scored during regulation 4th quarter play, with no regard for the overall game result or points from earlier quarters.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of Dallas covering the fourth-quarter spread. The current top outcome reflects the market’s best estimate, displayed as a percentage chance. Volume of $7,741 and recent 24-hour volume of $3,776 show how actively participants are trading this outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential from the last quarter will determine whether Dallas covers the spread, closing the market based on the game’s official statistics.
Key signals include late-breaking injury reports, weather updates affecting game conditions, or strategic changes by coaches that impact fourth-quarter performance. High-profile player performance in practice sessions or media commentary may also shift trader sentiment. As Aug 23, 2026 approaches, any news that alters expectations for how the game will unfold in the final quarter can cause rapid price adjustments in this market.