TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 9:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact set score outcome of the professional tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Learner Tien at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. Bettors predict the precise final set count.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien match at 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. On this market, traders may price outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers if they possess unique information or hold contrarian views. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down and highlight potential value, though prediction markets typically converge toward accuracy as the event date approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each exact-score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any given outcome reflects the last executed trade, and the spread between bid and ask represents the current liquidity gap. As more traders participate, prices adjust dynamically to incorporate new information and sentiment shifts. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, allowing you to see the full depth of interest at various price levels.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the tennis match between Svrcina and Tien concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of the match, confirmed through credible public reporting of the event. Traders holding positions on the correct final score will receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match completion, allowing for swift settlement.
Several factors may shift odds on this market before it resolves. Recent player form, head-to-head records, and injury updates can trigger repricing as new information surfaces. Court conditions, weather, and seeding announcements closer to the event date often influence trader positioning. Major upsets or unexpected withdrawals in related tournaments may also sway sentiment. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news about either player's fitness or mental state could cause sharp moves, and once play begins, live score updates will drive continuous price adjustments.