TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Dalian Yingbo FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC" if Dalian Yingbo FC score more goals than Wuhan San Zhen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Dalian Yingbo FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC score more goals than Dalian Yingbo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Dalian Yingbo FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC" if Dalian Yingbo FC score more goals than Wuhan San Zhen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Dalian Yingbo FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC score more goals than Dalian Yingbo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can surface information faster than bookmakers adjust. However, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional action and real-time injury or weather data. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—home win, away win, or draw in the second half—has its own share price, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. When you buy shares, you move the price up; when you sell, it moves down. The current price reflects the collective belief of all active traders on that outcome's probability. Prices update in real time as trades flow in, so you can enter or exit positions at any moment before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the second half of the match is complete and the final result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect whether Dalian Yingbo wins, Wuhan San Zhen wins, or the teams draw during the second half only. Resolution depends on the official match record from the league or governing body. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout automatically once the result is confirmed and the market settles.
Several factors can shift trader positions before the match begins or during the first half. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history can influence confidence in each outcome. Once the match starts, first-half goals, red cards, or tactical shifts will reshape expectations for the second half, causing prices to swing. Traders may also react to live commentary, possession patterns, or momentum swings visible during play. Late-breaking roster updates or venue changes, though rare, can also move the market significantly.