TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Dalian Yingbo FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Dalian Yingbo FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction and capital allocation. In this market, the odds you see represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen at halftime, without a house edge built in. This can make prediction markets more efficient at pricing uncertain outcomes, though sportsbook odds remain useful for cross-checking market sentiment and identifying potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This mechanism ensures the market remains liquid and responsive to new information right up until the halftime whistle.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, shortly after the first half of the match concludes. The outcome is determined by which team is ahead on the scoreboard when the referee ends the first 45 minutes. Once the halftime result is verifiable from credible public sources, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed, though standard league play typically proceeds as scheduled.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also factor into halftime expectations. As match day approaches, late money often flows into the market, reflecting final-hour sentiment. Once play begins, early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments during the opening minutes can trigger sharp repricing as traders react to live action and adjust their halftime forecasts accordingly.