TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Dalian Yingbo FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Dalian Yingbo FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on liability and betting patterns, whereas this market's prices emerge from continuous trading. For major sporting events, prediction market odds frequently align closely with sportsbook lines over time, though short-term gaps can emerge. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue perceives edge relative to the other.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism, where each exact-score outcome is tokenized and traded independently. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the odds in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news. The platform's transparent, continuous pricing model means this market's odds update throughout the lead-up to the match, allowing participants to enter or exit positions as their conviction changes.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Dalian Yingbo versus Shandong Taishan match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation of the official result.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter perceived match dynamics. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader sentiment about likely scorelines. Weather conditions or venue factors may influence how the match unfolds. Close to kickoff, confirmed starting lineups often trigger repricing as traders update their models. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts—would move this market sharply if trading remains open during play. Pre-match media coverage and expert analysis can also sway community expectations about the probable final score.