TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the China League 1. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dalian Kun City vs Wuxi Wugou professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the named team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after normal playing time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant dynamics and market design. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let traders collectively price outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile odds. Traders should compare this market’s current pricing with sportsbook lines to spot potential value, keeping in mind that prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced forecasts rather than institutional adjustments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the market’s current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, updating instantly with each trade. This decentralized pricing captures real-time sentiment and can shift rapidly in response to news, performance updates, or shifting fan expectations, offering a dynamic alternative to fixed sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match outcome, which the platform will compare against trusted public sources to finalize the settlement. Traders should monitor reputable sports news and official league announcements as the event date approaches to anticipate the market’s final resolution.
Injuries to key players, coaching changes, or shifting team form can significantly affect this market as the match nears. Media coverage highlighting tactical advantages or recent performance trends may also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute lineup announcements or weather conditions impacting the game could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess their positions based on new information.