TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored in the final quarter of a football game between two teams. The outcome depends solely on the combined scoring during that specific period, ignoring any points from overtime or earlier quarters.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the specified football game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points), the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market tends to adjust more rapidly to new data than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market digests information and forms its own probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Cowboys-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against trusted sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100 if the total points fall within the range defined by the contracts traded, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Giants would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could influence scoring and therefore the market price. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes in team dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – could create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.