TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance gap between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants specifically in the final quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market assesses different point differentials to gauge how decisively one team might outperform the other in the last quarter.
These markets evaluate whether the Dallas Cowboys or New York Giants secure a fourth-quarter victory by specific point margins in their September 13, 2026, matchup. All outcomes depend exclusively on points scored during regulation time of the fourth quarter—overtime points are disregarded. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the stated point threshold (e.g., Cowboys win by over 10.5 points). Thresholds range from narrow margins (e.g., 1.5 points) to substantial leads (e.g., 10.5 points), offering varied levels of difficulty for each outcome. The governing league’s official scoring and game records determine resolution, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the league. All trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook lines but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to news or events that might not be immediately reflected in traditional betting odds. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the 4th quarter. Traders place bids (to buy) and asks (to sell), and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that the actual point spread will fall within the range represented by the contract. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a consensus view of the likely outcome. The more volume traded, the more confidence can be placed in the price signal.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Cowboys-Giants game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics. All winning contracts will be settled at a value of 100, while losing contracts will be worth 0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the Cowboys-Giants 4th quarter spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception shifts based on pre-game analysis and expert opinions can drive trading activity. Even in-game events during the first three quarters could subtly influence predictions for the fourth, though the primary driver will be pre-game information.