TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between two rival teams. It captures the competitive momentum during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term performance rather than the overall result.
The event determines the winner of the third quarter in the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Three possible outcomes are considered: New York Giants winning the quarter, Dallas Cowboys winning the quarter, or a tie where both teams score equally. The resolution depends solely on which team scores the most points during the third quarter alone, with points from other quarters being irrelevant. If the teams finish the quarter with identical scores, the tie outcome is triggered, and all team-specific outcomes are settled as No. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations and operate under clearly defined scoring conditions for the third quarter alone.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the third quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will decrease, indicating higher implied probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – either the Cowboys or the Giants winning the third quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market reflects the collective assessment of participants regarding the likelihood of each outcome, providing a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Cowboys-Giants game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The official NFL game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cowboys or the Giants would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected strategic announcements from either coaching staff, or even shifts in public sentiment reflected in polls and analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before it resolves.