TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled game. It focuses on how much one team outscores the other in that quarter, regardless of the final game result.
The event evaluates whether the Dallas Cowboys or New York Giants achieve a specified point differential victory in the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Multiple markets exist with varying threshold point differences for each team—ranging from over 1.5 to over 10.5 points—for both possible outcomes (Cowboys win or Giants win). All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter of play; results from other quarters or the overall game are irrelevant. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team's third-quarter point margin exceeds the stated threshold. The structure allows participants to bet on varying levels of dominance in that single quarter, offering granular opportunities to assess short-term team performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees. Discrepancies between this market and sportsbook lines can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction fees and market liquidity should be considered.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Cowboys-Giants 3rd quarter. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s third quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Cowboys-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL. The contract corresponding to the actual third-quarter spread will pay out $100, while all other contracts will pay out $0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cowboys or the Giants would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. In-game performance during the first and second quarters could also shift expectations for the third quarter, leading to adjustments in the market price. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts could also be catalysts for price changes in this market.