TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second quarter of an upcoming football game between two rival teams. It captures the competitive momentum during a specific segment of the match, reflecting strategic adjustments and performance under pressure in a key moment of the game.
The event determines the outcome of the second quarter in the specified football game based on which team scores the most points during that quarter. If one team outscores the other, the corresponding market for that team resolves to Yes. If both teams finish the quarter with equal scores, the Tie market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. Points counted strictly reflect those scored within the second quarter, with no consideration for other quarters' performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information asymmetry. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the probability of each outcome. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional odds, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which team wins the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of that team winning the second quarter, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. The current volume traded provides insight into how actively the market is being used to express these beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Cowboys-Giants game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual on-field performance during that specific quarter of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact the odds in this market leading up to and during the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Giants would likely cause a shift in the market. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the perceived probabilities. In-game events, like early turnovers or dominant offensive drives, will cause rapid adjustments to the market prices. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts—perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends—could also contribute to movement in this market.