TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Dallas Cowboys will win the second half of their game against the New York Giants by more than 9.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 11.0% probability to this outcome, while the market assigns a 7.0% probability to the Cowboys winning by over 2.5 points in the second half. Resolution will be determined by the result of the Dallas Cowboys vs NY Giants Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 13, 2026, as the second-half performance will directly determine the market’s outcome.
The markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second half of the specified football game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the Dallas Cowboys or New York Giants achieve a win by more than the stated margin during that half. All markets share the same secondary rule, stipulating that only points scored in the second half count toward the resolution. The thresholds vary incrementally, offering a range of possible outcomes from narrow to substantial victories for either team. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks might initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge. It's common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate, reflecting differing viewpoints on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the Cowboys-Giants game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements reflect the collective wisdom of those trading on Kalshi and their assessment of the game’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Cowboys-Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the NFL. The contract corresponding to the actual second-half point spread will pay out $100, while all other contracts will pay out $0. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cowboys or the Giants would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from sophisticated traders could temporarily impact the price, reflecting their informed perspective on the game’s likely outcome.