TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New York Giants will win the first half of their game against the Dallas Cowboys by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 34.0% probability to the Giants achieving this, while the Cowboys winning the first half by over 2.5 points is priced at 23.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the first half of the DAL Cowboys vs NY Giants Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the first-half score and the stated conditions by the resolution date of September 14, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants at the end of the first half of the game scheduled for September 13, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's victory margin exceeds the stated point threshold—for Dallas, this means winning by more than the listed margin; for New York, it means winning by more than the listed margin. Only points scored during the first half count toward resolution. The markets cover a range of thresholds from 2.5 to 10.5 points for each team, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the opening half. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individuals trading contracts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, as game day approaches, the two may converge as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the Cowboys-Giants game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific spread, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Cowboys-Giants game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will be worth $100, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the Cowboys-Giants first half spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or institutions could shift the price. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by actual trading activity on Kalshi.