TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Daejeon Hana Citizen FC and Ulsan HD FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC score more goals than Ulsan HD FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC and Ulsan HD FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ulsan HD FC" if Ulsan HD FC score more goals than Daejeon Hana Citizen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Daejeon Hana Citizen FC and Ulsan HD FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC score more goals than Ulsan HD FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC and Ulsan HD FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ulsan HD FC" if Ulsan HD FC score more goals than Daejeon Hana Citizen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one reflect pure trader belief about outcomes. Prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and faster price discovery once volume builds, since traders profit directly from accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional betting syndicates and real-time injury data. Comparing the two can reveal value: if this market prices Daejeon higher than a sportsbook, traders may see an edge worth exploiting.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where each outcome has a reserve pool and prices adjust dynamically based on order flow. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. When you buy shares of a Daejeon win, draw, or Ulsan victory, you move the price of that outcome upward and others downward, incentivizing arbitrage and continuous price discovery. The market's price at any moment reflects the collective confidence of all active traders. Liquidity depth determines how much slippage occurs on large trades, so deeper pools allow tighter pricing. As match day approaches and new information surfaces, prices shift to incorporate updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the second half of the Daejeon Hana Citizen FC versus Ulsan HD FC match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score during the second half only, not the full match. A Daejeon win, draw, or Ulsan victory will be confirmed based on official K League records and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timestamp depends on when the match ends and the result is officially published.
Several catalysts can shift odds before this market resolves. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates and professional traders may accumulate positions based on proprietary analysis, moving prices ahead of casual traders. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports media coverage can drive retail participation. Close to kickoff, late-breaking injury reports or lineup confirmations typically cause the largest moves. Any unexpected developments in either team's preparation or external circumstances affecting the match will be reflected in real-time price adjustments.