TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Daejeon Hana Citizen FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Daejeon Hana Citizen FC and Bucheon FC 1995, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate beliefs from thousands of independent traders with real money at stake. For this fixture, comparing the implied probability from this market against major sportsbook lines can reveal where bettors and traders disagree on the likelihood of specific scorelines, potentially highlighting value or consensus blind spots.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each possible exact score outcome has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the collective assessment of traders' confidence in that result. As new information emerges—team news, betting patterns, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift and the probability distribution across all scorelines to rebalance dynamically.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Daejeon vs. Bucheon match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct scoreline outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to the official match result.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before kickoff. Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes can significantly alter perceived match dynamics. Recent form, head-to-head records, and betting patterns from major sportsbooks often influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical adjustments reported by local media may also trigger repricing. As the match date approaches, accumulating information typically narrows the probability distribution, with odds stabilizing closer to game time as uncertainty resolves.