TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Daejeon Citizen and Pohang Steelers, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is part of the Korea K League 1, South Korea's top-tier professional soccer competition.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers match scheduled for September 12, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Daejeon Citizen wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Pohang Steelers wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The governing rules explicitly state that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not affiliated with the Korea K League 1, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds, which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news more quickly, while this market allows for a broader range of information to influence pricing. Over time, as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook lines, depending on how the market interprets the available data. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and expectations for the K League soccer match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Daejeon Citizen versus Pohang Steelers soccer match, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will be determined by the final market price at the time of resolution and the contract’s initial price.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Daejeon Citizen or Pohang Steelers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, unexpected coaching decisions, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the market price, reflecting changing sentiment among participants regarding the K League soccer match.