TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 8:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Daejeon Citizen and Gwangju in an upcoming professional soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, highlighting different thresholds for success. The outcomes depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential between Daejeon Citizen and Gwangju in their scheduled Korea K League 1 match on August 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Daejeon wins by more than 2.5 goals, Daejeon wins by more than 1.5 goals, Gwangju wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Gwangju wins by more than 2.5 goals. Extra time and penalty outcomes are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as market sentiment or recent performance trends. Sportsbook odds typically incorporate broader public betting patterns and may adjust more rapidly for high-profile events. This distinction can create pricing differences that appeal to different types of bettors or analysts.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine which spread range is correct, and contracts for that outcome will pay out according to the rules set on Kalshi.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 2, 2026. Team injuries, coaching changes, or high-profile player transfers often dramatically alter expectations. Momentum swings from early-season performance and head-to-head matchups may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any major disruptions such as weather conditions or venue changes could impact perceptions of competitive balance and thus move this market.