TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether selected players from Czechia and South Africa record either a goal or an assist during their FIFA World Cup match on June 18, 2026. The market covers the entire match including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records at least one goal or assist during the entire Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 18, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, resolution is determined solely by that player's recorded goals and assists.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and risk capital. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match conditions change. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads due to higher volume. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the current market price reflects the last executed trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares range from $0 to $1, with the price representing the implied probability of the outcome. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news, and wider spreads may appear during low-activity periods.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Czechia vs South Africa match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether a goal or assist is scored during the official match duration. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and any official review processes are complete. Traders should monitor official match reports and sports news outlets to confirm the final result before settlement is finalized on the platform.
Team news—such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements—can significantly shift odds as they affect scoring probability. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage may influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form of both squads are also tracked by active participants. Live match developments, including early goals, red cards, or tactical changes, will drive sharp price movements once play begins. Social media trends and betting syndicate activity can also signal conviction shifts, especially in the final hours before kickoff.