TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A World Cup soccer match between two teams will be tracked for total goals scored during the first half, with multiple threshold levels monitored.
Resolution is determined by the total goals scored by both teams during the first half of the Czechia vs Mexico professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 24, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward resolution. Markets resolve to Yes if the combined first-half goal total exceeds the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations for first-half scoring, often incorporating team form, defensive records, and historical head-to-head patterns. Analyst forecasts typically rely on statistical models and expert judgment about playing style and tactical setup. Markets may diverge from analyst consensus when traders price in late-breaking news like injuries or lineup changes. Comparing Kalshi odds to published analyst predictions helps identify where professional opinion and crowd wisdom align or diverge on this specific first-half total.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Czechia vs Mexico first-half total is priced as a binary or range contract reflecting the implied probability that the combined goal count in the opening 45 minutes meets or exceeds a specified threshold. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the midpoint representing the market's consensus probability. Price discovery occurs through continuous order flow, with volume and bid-ask spreads indicating confidence and liquidity around different outcome scenarios.
The market resolves at Jun 25, 2026, after the first half of the Czechia vs Mexico match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final goal tally recorded at the 45-minute mark by the match referee and governing football authority. Any goals scored up to and including the end of the first half count toward the outcome; second-half goals do not. The specific threshold defining winning and losing outcomes is set at market creation and remains fixed through resolution.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury announcements affecting attacking or defensive depth. Tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences may shift expectations around early aggression or defensive caution. Recent form and goal-scoring trends in qualifying matches provide updated context. Weather conditions at kickoff, such as wind or rain, can influence first-half pace and scoring likelihood. Live match momentum during the opening minutes will drive sharp price movements as traders react to early chances, fouls, and team dominance patterns.