TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final scoreline of the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup match on Kalshi. A draw at 0-0 carries 28.0% probability, while a Mexico 1-0 victory holds 26.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the match originally scheduled for June 24, 2026. Watch the team lineups and tactical formations announced before kickoff on June 24, 2026, as these will signal each side's attacking intent and defensive setup.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Czechia vs Mexico professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 24, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each possible correct score outcome—including draws, Mexican victories, and Czech victories across various goal differentials—constitutes a separate resolution condition. The market captures all feasible scorelines from 0-0 draws through high-scoring results, with each specific score combination (such as 1-0, 2-1, 3-2, 4-0, etc.) representing a distinct Yes resolution pathway. The official final whistle score determines which outcome applies.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and information flow. Correct score markets on prediction platforms typically show tighter spreads and faster price adjustments to breaking news than conventional betting venues. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where informed traders see value or where public perception differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any scoreline reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction or the current best bid-ask spread—and moves instantly as new information arrives or trader sentiment shifts. Liquidity varies by outcome; heavily favored scores typically have tighter spreads and deeper order books, while unlikely results may trade with wider gaps between buy and sell prices.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Czechia versus Mexico match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the one matching the official final scoreline reported by the relevant sports authority. Until that point, traders can buy and sell positions freely, and prices will fluctuate based on live match events, team performance, and shifting expectations about the likely result.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice this market before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue also influence trader positioning. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will trigger sharp price movements as the probability of each scoreline adjusts in real time. Late-game developments, such as injuries to strikers or defensive changes, often spark the most volatile trading as the final scoreline becomes clearer.