TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Czechia and Croatia. Participants assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Czechia vs Croatia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time—but not including extra time or penalties—must exceed the respective threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Czechia vs Croatia match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders will be able to see the final result and claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Czechia or Croatia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probability of different goal totals. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also likely to shift prices. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant matches could indirectly influence sentiment and trading activity in this market.