TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cyprus vs. Belarus
Volume:
$165,427
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Cyprus vs. Belarus international friendly soccer match scheduled for March 26, 2026. Markets track whether Cyprus wins, Belarus wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (Belarus win, Cyprus win, or tie) resolves to YES, making the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where each outcome has a distinct YES/NO resolution, aligned with industry practice.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw where all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Polymarket's three binary markets (draw, Cyprus win, Belarus win) are resolvable and mutually exclusive. Trade only on Polymarket if you want a valid market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three Kalshi markets resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Belarus wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Cyprus wins, and Market 3 resolves YES if there is a tie. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers YES on at least one market, violating basic resolution logic. Quote: 'If Belarus wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cyprus wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary market logic: Each of the three Polymarket markets resolves to exactly one outcome (YES or NO) based on the match result. Draw market resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, Cyprus market resolves YES only if Cyprus wins, Belarus market resolves YES only if Belarus wins. All other outcomes resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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