TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cusco FC and Club Alianza Atlético, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cusco FC" if Cusco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Alianza Atlético" if Club Alianza Atlético are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Cusco FC and Club Alianza Atlético, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cusco FC" if Cusco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Alianza Atlético" if Club Alianza Atlético are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Traders here have direct financial skin in the game, which can make prices more responsive to new information and less subject to the house edge built into sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may occasionally offer sharper odds due to their professional risk management. Comparing both can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as more traders buy shares for one team to score first, that outcome's price rises and its implied probability increases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This continuous, transparent pricing mechanism ensures that the odds you see always represent the latest consensus among active traders, with no hidden spreads or intermediary markups.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can significantly alter scoring expectations. Lineup announcements and tactical changes announced by either coach will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at the venue, historical head-to-head scoring patterns, and recent form in goal-scoring efficiency can all trigger repricing. Closer to kickoff, late-breaking betting action and sharp money flowing into one side may accelerate price movement. Once the match begins, early possession, shots on target, and any early cards or injuries will drive rapid adjustments.