TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Boris Arias and Santiago De la Fuente in the Curitiba, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Boris Arias' if Boris Arias advances against Santiago De la Fuente. This market will resolve to 'Santiago De la Fuente' if Santiago De la Fuente advances against Boris Arias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Boris Arias and Santiago De la Fuente in the Curitiba, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Boris Arias' if Boris Arias advances against Santiago De la Fuente. This market will resolve to 'Santiago De la Fuente' if Santiago De la Fuente advances against Boris Arias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Arias vs De la Fuente match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Boris Arias and Santiago De la Fuente, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure fairness and accuracy.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant performance updates for either Boris Arias or Santiago De la Fuente could trigger movement. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the market price as traders adjust their positions based on new information.