TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ivory Coast will defeat Curacao by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup qualifier on Kalshi. The leading outcome, Ivory Coast wins by over 1.5 goals, currently stands at 91.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the match scheduled for June 25, 2026, based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the betting period closing on June 26, 2026.
Resolution is determined by the goal margin of victory in the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 25, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The market outcomes specify whether Curacao or Ivory Coast wins by more than a given threshold (1.5 or 2.5 goals). A market resolves to Yes if the specified team achieves a victory margin exceeding its threshold.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized bets from many participants. For the Curacao vs Ivory Coast spread, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where the market sees value. Prediction markets typically become more accurate as the match approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Curacao vs Ivory Coast spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or recent form—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price. The contract price converges toward either 0 or 100 cents as the match date approaches and uncertainty decreases.
The market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final spread outcome of the Curacao vs Ivory Coast match. The specific criteria—such as which team must win by how many goals—are defined in the market's terms. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the contract settles based on whether the spread condition was met, and traders receive their payouts accordingly.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, weather conditions on match day, and betting volume shifts on Kalshi. Unexpected player absences or tactical changes can significantly alter perceived spread outcomes. Media coverage and analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news—such as last-minute roster changes or venue adjustments—typically triggers sharp price movements as traders reassess probabilities and reposition their holdings.