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Closed: Jun 25, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team scores more goals than the other during the second half of the Curacao vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 25, 2026. If both teams score the same number of goals or neither scores, the result is a tie.
The market resolves based on the second-half goal differential in the Curacao vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026, measured after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Curacao wins if they score more goals than Ivory Coast in the second half; Ivory Coast wins if they score more goals than Curacao in the second half. A tie results if no goals are scored during the half or if both teams score an equal number of goals. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders who have financial incentive to forecast accurately, often incorporating real-time information and expert analysis. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, are typically published at discrete intervals and may not adapt as quickly to breaking news or shifting conditions. This market aggregates thousands of individual predictions into a single price, which research suggests can outperform individual expert opinions. Comparing the two reveals whether professional analysts and market participants align or diverge on the likely second-half outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability assigned by the market at any given moment, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the platform matches buyers and sellers to establish the current consensus forecast for the second-half winner.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team scores more goals during the second half of the Curacao vs Ivory Coast fixture. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while those on the losing side will see their position expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle as official match data becomes available.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments revealed before kickoff. First-half performance is a major signal—if one team dominates early, traders may reprrice the second-half odds based on momentum, fatigue, and likely substitutions. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any controversial calls during the first half can also shift sentiment. Live betting activity during the match itself will drive continuous repricing as the actual game unfolds, with goals, red cards, and momentum swings creating sharp price movements in real time.