TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional football league. The focus is on whether both teams will manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes and any added stoppage time. This outcome determines the resolution of certain betting conditions related to the game.
If Cuiaba and Nautico both score a goal in the Cuiaba vs Nautico Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view through trading activity on Kalshi. This can lead to differences between the implied probabilities from each source. It is common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as traders reassess the likelihood of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or neither team scores). The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, increased selling of 'Yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Cuiaba and Nautico score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be used to settle the market. The result will be based on the final scoreline of the match, as reported by official sources, and will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is declared.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cuiaba or Nautico would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a more defensive or offensive strategy could move the market. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.