TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cuiabá EC will win their Brasileiro Serie B soccer match against Clube Náutico Capibaribe on September 21, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Cuiabá EC winning is 100.0%, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the CBF, with fallback to sources like Flashscore and Sofascore. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 21, 2026, as the outcome will directly determine resolution.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Monday, September 21, 2026 between Cuiabá EC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe.
The event determines the winner of a professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Cuiaba and Nautico scheduled for September 21, 2026. Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Cuiaba secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Cuiaba' market resolves positively. Similarly, a Nautico win resolves the 'Nautico' market positively. Should the match conclude in a tie under the same conditions, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the full-time result as defined, with no consideration for post-regulation periods like extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there is a lot of information available and a strong incentive for traders to make correct predictions. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, and liquidity can vary between the two.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also influence predictions. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these factors and observing the trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves in the lead-up to the match’s conclusion.