TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:58 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a competitive match between two teams in a regional tournament, where both teams aim to score goals during the regular playing time. This includes the standard 90 minutes of play along with any additional stoppage time added by the referee. The outcome depends solely on whether each team manages to find the back of the net within this timeframe.
If Cuba and Bonaire both score a goal in the Cuba vs Bonaire CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing market participants and risk assessments. It’s common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to the prediction market price as more information becomes available and bettors refine their evaluations of the Cuba vs Bonaire match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether both teams will score in the Cuba vs Bonaire match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the price is to 100, the higher the implied probability of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Cuba and Bonaire score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will settle to 100 if both teams score, and to 0 if either team fails to score. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cuba or Bonaire would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions affecting the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.