Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 31, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Côte d'Ivoire win (YES on Polymarket Q4 and Kalshi Q1), Scotland win (YES on Polymarket Q6 and Kalshi Q3), or draw (YES on Polymarket Q1 and Kalshi Q2).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game, the draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a non-decisive outcome), while both win markets resolve NO.
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played, regardless of how long the delay extends.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official FIFA/governing body statistics. If these are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon official match conclusion and publication of final statistics, or upon credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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