TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the total number of corners that will be awarded during the FIFA World Cup match between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus probability for the over/under 9.5 corners threshold stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records. Watch for the match on June 30, 2026, as the outcome will depend on referee decisions and team tactics throughout the full 90-minute regulation period.
Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Corner kick thresholds are tracked separately for each team throughout the entire match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods if the game requires them. Ivory Coast's corner count is evaluated against thresholds of 4, 6, and 8 corners, while Norway's corner count is evaluated against thresholds of 5, 7, and 9 corners. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the respective team achieves or exceeds that number of corners. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original June 30 date, all markets will resolve to a fair price rather than based on actual performance.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds directly from trader positions and liquidity, reflecting crowd-sourced probability estimates rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, often adjusting more slowly than decentralized markets. This market's corner total may trade at different implied probabilities across platforms and versus traditional sportsbooks, especially as match conditions or team news shift. Comparing these sources helps identify value and consensus strength.
Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market structures, liquidity pools, and user bases, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket's over/under framing at 11.5 corners attracts traders focused on precise thresholds, while Kalshi's binary 8+ corners format appeals to those seeking simpler exposure. Differences in trading volume, fee structures, and settlement mechanics also influence how quickly each platform reprices in response to news or match developments, creating arbitrage opportunities for alert traders.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter expected corner volume by affecting possession and defensive intensity. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignment, and recent form of both squads also influence corner frequency. Large trader positions or sudden liquidity inflows on either platform may trigger repricing. Additionally, any official postponements or venue changes would reset market expectations, while pre-match analysis from respected analysts could shift implied probabilities as the event date approaches.