TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Côte d'Ivoire" if Côte d'Ivoire score more goals than Ecuador in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ecuador" if Ecuador score more goals than Côte d'Ivoire in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Côte d'Ivoire" if Côte d'Ivoire score more goals than Ecuador in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ecuador" if Ecuador score more goals than Côte d'Ivoire in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbooks because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for margin and liability; prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs with minimal overhead. For the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador second-half result, monitor both venues to spot inefficiencies. Prediction markets may react faster to breaking team news or injury reports, while sportsbooks sometimes hold outdated lines longer. Comparing the two helps identify where sharp traders see value that mainstream books have missed.
On Polymarket, the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador second-half result is priced as a set of outcome contracts—typically Côte d'Ivoire win, Ecuador win, and draw—each trading between 0 and 1 dollar. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the cumulative bids and asks from traders; as new information emerges (team sheets, first-half score, injuries), contract values shift instantly. The sum of all outcome prices approximates 1 dollar, with any gap representing the platform's fee structure. Higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction; you can enter or exit positions at any time before the Jun 14, 2026 resolution window.
The market resolves at Jun 14, 2026, shortly after the match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final score and the second-half result—specifically which team leads or whether the score is level after the 45th minute through full time. The outcome is verified against authoritative sports data feeds and official match records. Once confirmed, the winning contract settles to 1 dollar and losing contracts to zero, with payouts distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which shift perceived strength in the second half. First-half performance is critical: if one team dominates early, traders will reprice second-half odds based on fatigue, tactical adjustments, and momentum. Substitution patterns and red cards dramatically alter market prices. Weather conditions, altitude effects at the venue, and coaching decisions at halftime all influence second-half dynamics. Live match flow—goals, near-misses, and tactical shifts—will drive continuous repricing as traders update their expectations for the final 45 minutes.