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Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - First Team to Score

Volume:
$318,108

Ivory Coast

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 9:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82,098
N/A
N/A
$50,061
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Côte d'Ivoire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115,221
N/A
N/A
$86,950
Settled
No
polymarket

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,546
N/A
N/A
$35,688
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the first team to score in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026. The market resolves based on which team (if any) records the first goal during the match, with three possible outcomes: Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador, or Neither.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi define the match scope differently. Polymarket limits resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi includes the entire game including extra time periods.Hero tip: If you expect the match to go to extra time, note that Polymarket will resolve to Neither if a goal is scored only in extra time, while Kalshi will resolve to the scoring team. This creates a potential arbitrage or hedging opportunity depending on match dynamics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs explicitly excluded. Resolution source is official statistics from governing body or credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: First goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. No explicit mention of penalty shoot-outs or resolution source hierarchy.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Côte d'Ivoire" if Côte d'Ivoire are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ecuador" if Ecuador are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team records the first goal during the entire Ivory Coast vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup match, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If Ivory Coast scores first, that market resolves to Yes; if Ecuador scores first, that market resolves to Yes; if no goal is scored throughout the entire match, the No Goal market resolves to Yes. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by official FIFA records.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk profiles and trader bases than traditional sportsbooks. Market-derived odds tend to aggregate dispersed information from many independent traders, while sportsbooks set lines to manage liability and attract balanced action. For this match, prediction market prices may diverge from sportsbook spreads due to differences in liquidity, trader sophistication, and real-time updating. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.

Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which affect offensive firepower and defensive stability. Tactical shifts, weather conditions, and referee assignments can influence early-game tempo and scoring likelihood. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary may shift trader sentiment. Real-time match events—early chances, fouls, or momentum swings—will drive rapid repricing once play begins. Historical head-to-head records, recent form, and travel fatigue for Ecuador may also influence how traders position before kickoff.