TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the exact final score of the FIFA World Cup match between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador on June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Aggregating data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, the consensus probability for a 1-0 Côte d'Ivoire victory stands at 99.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, as recognized by FIFA and event organizers. Watch for the match kickoff on June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, which will settle this market based on the regulation-time result only.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador match originally scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time periods and penalty shootouts are not included in the determination. The resolution covers a comprehensive range of possible scorelines including draws, victories for either team, and various goal differentials, allowing bettors to predict the precise match outcome within standard match duration.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador match originally scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect real-time trader sentiment unconstrained by traditional sportsbook margins and limits. While sportsbooks apply fixed spreads and maximum bet caps, prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this exact-score market, prediction odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different liquidity pools, trader composition, and the granular nature of exact-score betting, which typically carries lower volume and wider ranges than moneyline or spread markets.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi arise from distinct user bases, liquidity depths, and fee structures on each platform. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or have concentrated positions on specific scorelines, while Kalshi operates under separate market mechanics. Lower overall volume in exact-score markets amplifies these gaps, as smaller trades move prices more significantly. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms remain limited by withdrawal friction and platform-specific constraints, allowing temporary divergences to persist.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and tactical shifts by either side. Pre-match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions at the venue can shift trader expectations around likely scorelines. As match day approaches, betting syndicates and sharp traders may accumulate positions on favored exact scores, moving implied probabilities. Live match developments—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will ultimately drive final positioning and resolution clarity.