TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CD Riestra, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSyD Defensa y Justicia" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Riestra" if CD Riestra are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CD Riestra, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSyD Defensa y Justicia" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Riestra" if CD Riestra are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. This market may show materially different odds than a conventional sportsbook, particularly if one venue has sharper or more active traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus leans strongest and where potential value exists for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, ranging from near-zero to near-certainty. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time to balance supply and demand. Larger trades move the price more sharply, while smaller orders may fill at prices closer to the current consensus. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Resolution is confirmed once the result is verifiable from credible public sources, such as official match records or major sports reporting outlets. Early or late goals do not affect the market—only the identity of the team that scores first matters.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, defensive absences, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring probability. Starting lineups announced closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves, as traders adjust for confirmed personnel. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage are also monitored closely. Weather conditions, pitch quality, or referee assignments may influence early-game tempo and attacking intent. Large trades by sophisticated bettors can also shift odds rapidly if they signal new information or conviction about one team's offensive edge.