TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 11:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Aldosivi, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSyD Defensa y Justicia" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia score more goals than CA Aldosivi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Aldosivi score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Aldosivi" if CA Aldosivi score more goals than CSyD Defensa y Justicia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Aldosivi, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSyD Defensa y Justicia" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia score more goals than CA Aldosivi in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Aldosivi score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Aldosivi" if CA Aldosivi score more goals than CSyD Defensa y Justicia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one allow traders to continuously adjust prices based on new information, team news, or betting patterns. For a second-half-only outcome, prediction markets may respond faster to halftime developments—injuries, tactical shifts, or score changes—that sportsbooks cannot instantly reprice. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades of all participants; as more traders buy a particular result, its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous repricing mechanism means odds update in real time without a central operator setting lines, creating a transparent, peer-to-peer discovery process for the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined solely by what occurs during the second 45 minutes of play, independent of the first-half score. Resolution confirms the final second-half result—whether it favors CSyD Defensa y Justicia, CA Aldosivi, or ends in a draw—based on official match records and reporting from recognized sports authorities.
Several catalysts can shift odds before and during the match. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price moves. The first-half result itself is a major signal; a team trailing at halftime may be priced differently than one leading, reflecting perceived urgency and tactical adjustments. Live events during the second half, such as goals, red cards, or substitutions, will cause rapid repricing as traders react to unfolding play. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history can also influence early market sentiment.