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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi?

Volume:
$1,946,837

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 10:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$502,360
N/A
N/A
$305,591
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Defensa y Justicia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$626,084
N/A
N/A
$406,634
Settled
No
polymarket

CSyD Defensa y Justicia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aldosivi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$488,840
N/A
N/A
$311,060
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Aldosivi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Aldosivi, scheduled for July 23, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, combining data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by the official rules from the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The outcome will be confirmed following the match conclusion on July 24, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different market structures for the same match. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic (draw resolves Yes on cancellation, wins resolve No). Kalshi offers a single ternary market where all outcomes resolve Yes, creating potential settlement misalignment if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero tip: The core divergence is structural rather than definitional. Both platforms agree on the match scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, official AFA statistics as primary source). The risk lies in cancellation scenarios. If the match is canceled with no make-up: Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi's single market resolves Yes. For normal match completion (win, loss, or draw), both platforms align perfectly. Recommend monitoring AFA official channels and confirming cancellation protocols with each platform before July 23, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Defensa y Justicia win, Draw, Aldosivi win). Defensa y Justicia and Aldosivi win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. Primary source: official AFA statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single ternary market covering all three outcomes (Defensa y Justicia win, Aldosivi win, Tie). All three resolution paths lead to Yes. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, official Argentina Primera Division statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Aldosivi.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each possible outcome—a Defensa y Justicia victory, an Aldosivi victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Defensa y Justicia vs. Aldosivi match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this fixture, with real-time odds reflecting the collective assessment of match participants. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each venue is valuing the result, giving you a broader sense of where smart money is positioned. Total volume across both platforms shows the level of interest and conviction backing these predictions.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are peer-to-peer exchanges where traders themselves determine prices through supply and demand. This often means prediction markets reflect genuine belief more directly, without the house edge built into sportsbook spreads. For this match, comparing prediction market odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal whether one venue sees value the other has missed.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices evolve. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market mechanics or user bases with distinct information sets. Timing differences in when traders react to news can also create temporary price gaps. These divergences are normal and often present arbitrage opportunities for traders monitoring both venues simultaneously.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically drives sharp price movement in soccer markets. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any roster updates for either side can shift trader sentiment quickly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting syndicate activity may also influence prices as the match date approaches. Public injury reports and official team announcements are the most reliable catalysts; monitor both clubs' official channels and credible sports media for developments that could reshape the odds.