TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming Europa League soccer match between CSKA Sofia and Qarabag. It specifically evaluates whether either team will secure a decisive lead by more than 1.5 goals before halftime. The outcome hinges solely on first-half performance, ignoring any events in the second half.
The market evaluates first-half performance in the CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Europa League match scheduled for July 30, 2026, determining whether either team achieves a victory margin exceeding 1.5 goals in that half. If CSKA Sofia wins the first half by more than one goal, that specific market resolves to Yes; similarly, if Qarabag achieves the same margin, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only goals scored in the first half count, and if the match is canceled or postponed by over two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match statistics — specifically whether CSKA Sofia’s first-half score exceeds Qarabag’s by more than 1.5 goals. After the game concludes, the market settles automatically based on publicly available box scores and game records.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and recent form or head-to-head performance are strong signals that could shift this market. Any last-minute lineup changes or tactical decisions by coaches may also influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, updated expert analysis, betting trends, and media narratives often drive volume and price swings on Kalshi, reflecting evolving expectations about which team will control the first half.