TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 4:02 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Municipal and CSD Mixco, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Municipal" if CSD Municipal score more goals than CSD Mixco in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CSD Municipal and CSD Mixco score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Mixco" if CSD Mixco score more goals than CSD Municipal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Municipal and CSD Mixco, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Municipal" if CSD Municipal score more goals than CSD Mixco in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CSD Municipal and CSD Mixco score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Mixco" if CSD Mixco score more goals than CSD Municipal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have financial skin in the game. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's aggregate forecast differs from professional oddsmakers, though both are valid pricing mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy and sell outcome shares, and the cumulative order flow determines the probability reflected in the market price. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that balances supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second-half result of the CSD Municipal vs. CSD Mixco match is verified and finalized. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the final score and match details. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing may shift slightly if the event is postponed or rescheduled.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements that affect second-half performance expectations. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting-market activity can shift trader sentiment before kickoff. During the first half, live action—goals, red cards, or momentum swings—often reshapes expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking team updates may also trigger repricing as new information reaches the market.