TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Mixco" if CSD Mixco score more goals than CSD Suchitepéquez in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Suchitepéquez" if CSD Suchitepéquez score more goals than CSD Mixco in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Mixco" if CSD Mixco score more goals than CSD Suchitepéquez in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Suchitepéquez" if CSD Suchitepéquez score more goals than CSD Mixco in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus—each participant risking real capital on their forecast. This market's odds may move faster or reflect sharper information during breaking news or injury announcements, whereas sportsbooks adjust more cautiously to protect their margins. Neither is inherently more accurate; they simply price risk differently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome, and the platform calculates odds from the ratio of shares outstanding. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability shifts. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects live consensus without requiring a centralized bookmaker.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded by the match officials and confirmed through established sports data sources. Your position will settle based on whether the actual second-half result matches the outcome you predicted when you placed your trade.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history can also shift trader sentiment. Live match events, such as an early goal or red card in the first half, typically trigger sharp repricing as traders update their second-half forecasts. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity may also influence odds. Monitor official team announcements and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape the probability.