TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to published sportsbook lines can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the halftime outcome. Significant gaps may signal information asymmetry or different risk assessments of the teams involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract trades as a separate instrument, and the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar, ensuring internal consistency. As traders place orders, the price of each halftime result outcome shifts to reflect the collective assessment of probability, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that rewards accurate forecasting and punishes poor predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the halftime whistle has sounded and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The outcome is determined by which team is ahead on the scoreboard at the interval—whether CSD Mixco leads, CSD Suchitepéquez leads, or the teams are tied. Resolution occurs automatically once the halftime score is confirmed through established sports data sources, and traders' positions settle according to the verified result.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly as traders reassess each side's halftime prospects. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence sentiment. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and pre-match analysis from respected football commentators may trigger buying or selling pressure. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as player fitness updates or tactical announcements often cause sharp price swings, especially in the final hours before kickoff when information becomes more concrete and traders finalize their positions.