TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Mixco" if CSD Mixco are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Suchitepéquez" if CSD Suchitepéquez are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CSD Mixco and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Mixco" if CSD Mixco are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Suchitepéquez" if CSD Suchitepéquez are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets instead aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probability to a sportsbook's moneyline or goal-market odds reveals whether traders are more or less confident than bookmakers about which team breaks the deadlock first. These differences can highlight value opportunities or consensus shifts in real time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—one share for CSD Mixco to score first, another for CSD Suchitepéquez—and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As new trades flow in, prices adjust instantly, ensuring the odds remain responsive to new information and trader conviction about which team will net the opening goal.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regular play, confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Once the event is complete and the goal sequence is established, this market settles to reflect the correct outcome, and traders' positions are finalized based on whether their chosen team scored the opening goal.
Several factors can shift odds before Aug 1, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price moves, as does betting action from informed traders. Pre-match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can all influence how traders reassess the probability of each outcome. Additionally, if one team is heavily favored in the broader match odds, that sentiment may spill into this market, pushing odds toward the stronger side. Monitor social media, team announcements, and betting volume for clues about shifting conviction.