TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CSD Independiente del Valle vs. CD Cuenca
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CSD Independiente del Valle vs CD Cuenca?

Volume:
$553,565

Ind. del Valle

 - Kalshi

Ind. del Valle - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 4:12 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ind. del Valle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$189,979
N/A
N/A
$113,325
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CSD Independiente del Valle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cuenca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250,491
N/A
N/A
$178,741
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Cuenca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,336
N/A
N/A
$50,486
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CSD Independiente del Valle vs. CD Cuenca)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CSD Independiente del Valle will win against CD Cuenca in their soccer match. The aggregated consensus probability for Independiente del Valle winning stands at 100.0%, with CD Cuenca at 0.1%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolution based on https://www.ligapro.ec/. The outcome will be determined by the match result on August 2, 2026, the final game date of the event window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence in market structure and resolution logicHero tip: Traders should avoid cross-platform hedging strategies as the Kalshi market resolves to Yes for any outcome while Polymarket requires outcome-specific bets. Focus on platform-specific strategies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Independiente del Valle win? Will the match end in a draw? Will CD Cuenca win? Each resolves independently based on the specific outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Independiente del Valle wins, CD Cuenca wins, OR the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Effectively a 'Any Outcome' market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for Sunday, August 2, 2026 between CSD Independiente del Valle and CD Cuenca.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Ind. del Valle vs Cuenca professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Ind. del Valle market occurs if Ind. del Valle wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Cuenca market occurs if Cuenca wins the match within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a tie after regulation time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the match result within the specified time frame, with no consideration for extra time, penalties, or post-match events.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Independiente del Valle vs. Cuenca match-up market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume from each. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the chances of various outcomes, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. With a total volume of $553,565 and 24-hour volume of $545,350, it reflects the collective wisdom of bettors focused on this match-up. The display helps users compare odds instantly and spot shifts in expectations as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders vote with their dollars, which can create prices that reflect real-time sentiment and sharp money. For this market, the gap can be especially noticeable if there’s new information — like player injuries or weather updates — that isn’t fully baked into sportsbook adjustments. Monitoring both sides gives a fuller picture of where the smart money may be leaning.