TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 8:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets focuses on predicting the exact final score of the Copa Libertadores soccer match between CS Independiente Rivadavia and Fluminense FC scheduled for August 18, 2026. The markets cover various possible scorelines, with an 'Any Other Score' outcome as a catch-all for scores not explicitly listed.
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between CS Independiente Rivadavia and Fluminense FC, scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC match originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Similar to the first event, this event evaluates various thresholds of goals scored during the regulation time of the Rivadavia vs Fluminense soccer match. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored by both teams combined exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome based on the final score. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a broader range of outcomes compared to traditional sportsbook lines, especially for exact scores, because they incorporate crowd wisdom and can price in less common results. While sportsbooks may focus on popular bets like match winners or over/under totals, prediction markets let traders speculate on precise scores, sometimes offering higher potential returns for less likely outcomes. The difference also depends on trading volume; higher volume can tighten spreads, bringing prediction odds closer to sportsbook prices.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more international traders, skewing its odds toward certain scores, while the other could reflect a regional bias. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure, which influences how traders place bets and can lead to price gaps. The leading outcomes on each platform may also shift based on recent news or form, further separating the two markets.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or changes in team strategies can all shift this market as the match nears. Media reports, coach statements, and early-lineups often trigger rapid price adjustments. Additionally, broader betting trends on Polymarket or Kalshi—like large trades or increased volume around specific scores—can move odds, especially when public sentiment swings dramatically ahead of kickoff.