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406,019

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30,401

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate
polymarket
kalshi

CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate

Volume:
$370,944

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 3, 2026

Closed: Mar 2, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,129
N/A
N/A
$42,929
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

River Plate

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108,631
N/A
N/A
$79,502
Settled
No
kalshi

Rivadavia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,533
N/A
N/A
$64,222
Settled
No
polymarket

CS Independiente Rivadavia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CA River Plate

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA River Plate scheduled for March 2, 2026. Markets track the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time across three mutually exclusive results: Rivadavia win, River Plate win, or draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market conflates game cancellation with a draw result, resolving to YES on cancellation. Kalshi's draw market only resolves YES if the actual match result is a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no explicit cancellation clause.Hero tip: Traders should be aware that Polymarket's draw market has embedded cancellation risk: if the game is canceled with no make-up, you win the draw bet even though no tie occurred. Kalshi traders face ambiguity on cancellation outcomes. Verify the official AFA website for any match status changes before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Rivadavia win, River Plate win, draw). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. All markets remain open if postponed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Rivadavia wins, River Plate wins, Tie wins). All three resolve YES only if the corresponding result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided for any market. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.