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406,019

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2,689

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5

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VS.

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CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano
kalshi
polymarket

CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano

Volume:
$223,776

Belgrano de Cordoba

 - Kalshi

Belgrano de Cordoba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belgrano de Cordoba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$5,368
$40,302
N/A
N/A
$30,946
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rivadavia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,352
$95,135
N/A
N/A
$83,889
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,706
$29,121
N/A
N/A
$25,411
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Belgrano

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,787
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

CS Independiente Rivadavia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,920
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,511
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA Belgrano scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering all three possible results: Rivadavia win, Belgrano win, or draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable as structured. All three mutually exclusive outcome markets are programmed to resolve Yes, making it impossible to differentiate between a Rivadavia win, Belgrano win, or draw. Polymarket uses proper mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event - the structure prevents meaningful price discovery. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead: one for Rivadavia win, one for Belgrano win, and one for draw. These are mutually exclusive and will resolve correctly based on actual match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Belgrano win, Rivadavia win, Tie) are programmed to resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome simultaneously resolves to Yes. Quote: 'If Belgrano de Cordoba wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Rivadavia wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes only if game ends in draw, otherwise No. Rivadavia win market resolves Yes only if Rivadavia wins, otherwise No. Belgrano win market resolves Yes only if Belgrano wins, otherwise No. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.