TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano
Volume:
$223,776
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA Belgrano scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering all three possible results: Rivadavia win, Belgrano win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable as structured. All three mutually exclusive outcome markets are programmed to resolve Yes, making it impossible to differentiate between a Rivadavia win, Belgrano win, or draw. Polymarket uses proper mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event - the structure prevents meaningful price discovery. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead: one for Rivadavia win, one for Belgrano win, and one for draw. These are mutually exclusive and will resolve correctly based on actual match outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Belgrano win, Rivadavia win, Tie) are programmed to resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome simultaneously resolves to Yes. Quote: 'If Belgrano de Cordoba wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Rivadavia wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes only if game ends in draw, otherwise No. Rivadavia win market resolves Yes only if Rivadavia wins, otherwise No. Belgrano win market resolves Yes only if Belgrano wins, otherwise No. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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