TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the CS Emelec versus Leones Futbol Club soccer match. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, "Exact Score: CS Emelec 2 - 1 Leones Futbol Club?", is currently 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch for the match conclusion on August 30, 2026, to confirm the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CS Emelec and Leones Futbol Club, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Emelec vs. Leones Futbol Club match originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If Emelec wins the Emelec vs Leones professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Leones wins the Emelec vs Leones professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Emelec vs Leones professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a probabilistic view shaped by trader sentiment rather than set odds from bookmakers. While sportsbooks may post fixed lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets price outcomes dynamically through real-time trading. This can lead to sharper, more granular probabilities—especially for exact scores—where small shifts in trader confidence are quickly reflected. Additionally, prediction markets sometimes expose less popular outcomes with higher implied probabilities if the trading volume supports them.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences between Polymarket and Kalshi stem from varying user bases, liquidity levels, and trading mechanics. Each platform attracts distinct participants, which can skew probabilities toward certain outcomes based on regional interest or market depth. For instance, if one venue has deeper volume behind a particular scoreline, its price may diverge from the other. Moreover, differing fee structures and order types can influence how traders place bets, leading to price variations even when both markets track the same event.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market close to game time. Sudden momentum swings during early match play often trigger rapid price adjustments, while any last-minute lineup news — especially regarding star performers — may produce sharp moves in the hours before kickoff.