Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official 90-minute match outcome per CONMEBOL, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and fallback to credible reporting.
Primary resolution logic:
Official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics (conmebollibertadores.com); credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined by goals scored in first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
CS Cristal win resolves Yes on Polymarket CS Cristal market and Kalshi Sporting Cristal market
CDP Junior FC win resolves Yes on Polymarket CDP Junior FC market and Kalshi Junior market
Draw resolves Yes on Polymarket draw market and Kalshi Tie market
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until game is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game, win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; resolution then follows standard outcome logic
Cancellation without makeup: Win markets (CS Cristal, CDP Junior FC) resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
Extra time and penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute regular play plus stoppage time result; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Official statistics delay: If CONMEBOL does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus from reputable sports media may be used as fallback
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official CONMEBOL statistics are published or credible reporting consensus is established, within approximately 2 hours of match end
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.