TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 4:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cristal and CD Garcilaso, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Cristal vs. CD Garcilaso match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cristal and CD Garcilaso, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Cristal vs. CD Garcilaso match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may differ from traditional sportsbooks because traders are directly risking capital on outcomes rather than betting against a fixed line. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value relative to conventional bookmakers, though both sources provide useful signals for assessing match probabilities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying and selling pressure directly moves odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction around a specific scoreline. Prices update continuously as new orders flow in, and the cost to buy a share in any outcome rises as demand increases. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the lead-up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the CS Cristal versus CD Garcilaso match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout distribution to winning participants.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking and defensive capabilities. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff all influence probability estimates for specific scorelines. Weather conditions and venue factors may also sway expectations around goal-scoring patterns. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or managerial statements can trigger sharp repricing. Live trading activity itself often accelerates movement in the final hours before the fixture.