TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 5:21 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cristal and ADC Juan Pablo II College, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CS Cristal" if CS Cristal score more goals than ADC Juan Pablo II College in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CS Cristal and ADC Juan Pablo II College score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ADC Juan Pablo II College" if ADC Juan Pablo II College score more goals than CS Cristal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cristal and ADC Juan Pablo II College, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CS Cristal" if CS Cristal score more goals than ADC Juan Pablo II College in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CS Cristal and ADC Juan Pablo II College score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ADC Juan Pablo II College" if ADC Juan Pablo II College score more goals than CS Cristal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating margins and promotional adjustments. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, often reflecting real-time information and crowd sentiment more directly. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of liquidity pools, adjusting dynamically with every trade. As traders accumulate shares in one outcome, its price rises, incentivizing contrarian positions and continuous rebalancing. This mechanism ensures transparent, real-time pricing without reliance on a central operator to set odds, allowing the market to respond immediately to new information or shifting trader conviction.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only, independent of the first-half score. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the match organizers or recognized sports data providers. Traders should monitor for any official postponements or rescheduling that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could shift trader positioning before resolution. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, second-half odds typically adjust to reflect momentum and fatigue patterns. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and tactical adjustments at halftime can also influence expectations. Late-breaking injury reports or unexpected team announcements in the hours before the match may create volatility as traders reassess probabilities.